15:04
unemployment
USAAujourd'hui place the publication of two key U.S. macroeconomic
indicators: ADP national report (non-farm employment rate) at 14:15, and
the ISM non-manufacturing index at 16:00.
The
ADP National report measures the monthly change in the sector non-farm
private employment, this ratio is determined with data on income 40,000
U.S. companies. This
indicator is a good signal to anticipate the government's report on
non-farm payrolls will be released on Friday, it is highly anticipated
by investors. The
indicator is expected by the consensus 160K 135K against the previous
month, the variation of this indicator can be very volatile.
The
ISM non-manufacturing index measures the relative level of business
conditions, including those in production, employment, the number of new
orders, inventories and prices. The survey is conducted from a survey involving 400 purchase of the non-manufacturing sector managers. If
the spring index above 50 indicates expansion in the industry, and vice
versa if it appears below indicates contraction of the industry. The index is expected by the consensus 54 against 53.7 the previous month.
The
EUR / USD pair is perfect for this kind of power trader indicator, it
reacts instantly to the release of ADP and ISM non-manufacturing index. From
a technical point of view the pair moving inside a bearish channel
after breaking down this morning to support his former ranks in which
the pair evolved since June 26. The pair is currently oblique resistance to its bearish channel.
If
any of these indicators appears above expectations, then the pair will
drop its course suddenly, she will likely reach the bottom of its
bearish channel to build on its oblique support.
If they stand in expectations, the pair is likely to evolve within a range between 1.2924 and 1.2982.
If
one indicator appears below expectations, the EUR / USD could
experience upward momentum, and that would break the resistance of a
downward sloping channel to join former support of its range.
It
is advisable to be cautious when posting, and do not rush to expect
volatility decline before taking a position, especially in the current
context or volatility reigns supreme. There
are often strong movements from 50 to 100 pips in a few minutes on the
important news, sometimes in the wrong direction, thus turning
violently.
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